A Profitable Weekend of Football (64%)

We're baaaaaack.

Well, kind of. We finally went another weekend with a winning record in the NFL and college, which mostly just means that our college picks finally came through since our NFL picks have yet to produce a losing record in any week this season.

Even they, though, have been in a bit of a holding pattern as of late, hovering around .500. All told, our weekend of football finished with a 9-5 record (64%), which we'll take. Here's the breakdown:

First, our crown jewel, which we mentioned have been very unimpressive after a hot start. Still more wins than losses, but we just can't seem to get that one extra victory every week. A push in the Green Bay game would have been helpful, but alas, it was not to be. Still, 4-3 is not bad for a bad week.

Free NFL Picks
Week 1: 5-1
Week 2: 6-1
Week 3: 4-4
Week 4: 3-3

Week 5: 4-3
Overall: 22-12... 65%

Our struggling Free NCAA Football Picks are finally back to perfectly mediocre after three straight fade-worthy weeks. A 4-2 Saturday, followed by a Thursday win, gives us hope that they are back on track.

Free NCAA Football Picks
Week 1: 5-4-1
Week 2: 8-4
Week 3: 3-6
Week 4: 4-7
Week 5: 3-6
Week 6: 5-2
Overall: 29-29-1... 50%

Reason for optimism here at Stock Lemon, with a combined football picks record of 51-41-1 (55%). It's not where we wanted to be right now, but we've fought through some rough spots and are looking forward to building on this weekend with more winnings weeks to come. And yes, we've already posted a picture of this Falcons chick. We're sure you won't mind another.

Week 5 Free NFL Picks (67% YTD)

Our Free NFL Picks started hot and have cooled off the last two weeks, with consecutive .500 outings. We're hoping to get back on track with a week of three-point favorites! Not usually the way to accomplish a winning record, but lots of value in these plays this week.

Falcons -3 over the Browns

Packers -3 over the Redskins

Lions -3 over the Rams

Texans -3 over the Giants

Colts -7 over the Chiefs

Titans +7 over the Cowboys

49ers -3 1/2 over the Eagles

That should be it for tomorrow's action. Again, very favorite heavy and there are some "square" looking plays in the bunch, but we're going to trust our 67% system while we can still say that it's 67%.

Here's the evidence:

Free NFL Picks
Week 1: 5-1
Week 2: 6-1
Week 3: 4-4
Week 4: 3-3
Overall: 18-9... 67%

As a side note, we aren't planning on having a play for Monday's Jets-Vikes game, but we might as well continue to post pictures of Jenn Sterger in light of Brett Favre's penis pictures hitting the web. She seems to have given our college picks a little boost (more on that, hopefully, in a bit), so we'll pull a Favre and try to ride Jenn.

Week 6 Free NCAA Football Picks

We promised a little less volume and a little more over/unders... and we will come through on both promises just a little. With our picks struggling (a little?), we were a little more picky with our sides and a little more trustworthy in our totals, and hopefully the end results are A LOT more profitable. After Thursday's win, we'll have a total of seven plays this week, two less than our lowest week so far.

Georgia Tech -10 over Virginia

Michigan/Michigan State UNDER 65

Alabama -7 1/2 over South Carolina

Wake Forest +3 1/2 over Navy

Florida State/Miami OVER 49

Penn State -8 over Illinois

If posting a picture of Stock Lemon favorite and former Florida State babe Jenn Sterger doesn't get it done amidst all the Brett Favre sexting allegations, we don't know how to bust this slump. The ugly results to date:

Free NCAA Football Picks
Week 1: 5-4-1
Week 2: 8-4
Week 3: 3-6
Week 4: 4-7
Week 5: 3-6
Week 6: 1-0
Overall: 25-27-1... 48%

Sides: 24-27-1... 47%

Totals: 1-0... 100%!!!!!!!

That's Why We Don't Bet Against Farm Girls

Our life-long philosophy proved true again last night, with Nebraska easily covering the -11 spread over Kansas State and giving our Free NCAA Football Picks a 1-0 start to the week.

We should just quit while we're ahead, giving us our first winning week in college football in... well... long enough, but we don't know any better and will have several more picks for tomorrow's action posted a little later tonight.

Stay tuned!

And no, none of the girls that we have featured in pictures have been sent text message pictures of Brett Favre's penis. That we know of.

Chasing Our NCAA Football Pick Losses From Last Week

Okay, so we aren't really chasing last week's losses (or the week before's). We do have a Thursday play tonight that comes up as part of our Free NCAA Football Picks system. It just always feels like we are pressing when we take action on these Thursday or Friday games, because we are so selective with such a large slate on Saturday. But, in the end, this pick should be a winner (says the site with a 47% success rate at, you know, picking college winners). Without further ado:

Nebraska -11 over Kansas State

As much as we don't want to bet against home teams on the weekday games (we have no numbers to indicate anything either way, just kind of a gut feeling), we're sticking with our struggling system on this one. We're simply abiding by our number one rule in life: never bet against farm girls.

Let's dig out of this hole together... or further down it.

Free NCAA Football Picks
Week 1: 5-4-1
Week 2: 8-4
Week 3: 3-6
Week 4: 4-7
Week 5: 3-6
Overall: 24-27-1... 47%

Free NFL Picks Have Another Average Week (67% YTD)

After a hot 11-2 start for our Free NFL Picks, they've gone 4-4 and 3-3 in the last two weeks, giving them a 7-7 mark for those of you who chose not to finish the second grade.

Overall, that puts them at 18-9 this season, which while still pretty good, is very disappointing considering the start. We know that these things kind of even out over the course of a season, but we also know that we need to do a better job of differentiating between what qualifies as as system play. Two of our picks in particular, the Colts (-8) and the Bengals (-3) felt very square to us, leading us to think we should bring more of a human element to our picks rather than simply trust our numbers.

Still, all we've lost is a few followers and a little juice in the last two weeks, which isn't bad for what we would call a slump.

Obviously, both our Free NCAA Football Picks and our Free NFL Picks are not where we want them to be after a great start, so we have some work to do this week.

But did we mention we are 100% on Free UFL Picks!?!?!?!?!

The NFL breakdown follows:

Free NFL Picks
Week 1: 5-1
Week 2: 6-1
Week 3: 4-4

Week 4: 3-3

Overall: 18-9... 67%

We Need to Bet on the UFL More Often

In light of our recent struggles in college football, we decided it was time to pull the trigger on a Free UFL Pick on Saturday. And it was just the ego boost we needed.

There's nothing better than a game going down exactly as predicted, which happened when Omaha beat Sacramento but didn't cover the spread +8 point spread, giving us a 1-0 Free UFL Picks record.

After another losing week in college, it's good to have the UFL as a fall back option on Saturdays if needed.

And it's always nice to post pictures of Omaha QB Jeff Garcia's ridiculously hot wife, Carmella Decesare.

And, of course, it's good to have NFL Sundays. This week's Free NFL Picks (71% YTD) can be found here.