Saturday, January 15, 2011

Free NFL Playoff Picks Continue as Super Bowl Nears (61%)



At this point, we are already just counting down the days to 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) in Dallas, waiting to unleash the fury of our prop betting expertise. But for now, we will "settle" for high-caliber playoff football in what some call the best weekend in the NFL.


As it stand right now, we have one pick for Saturday and one pick for Sunday. They are:


Packers +1 1/2 over Falcons


Jets +9 1/2 over Patriots


We have been riding the dogs this postseason (believe us, Seahawks +10 and Ravens +3 1/2 are also very tempting), but we think these two plays represent the best value on the board. The Packers seem to be too obvious of a pick, and too many people are counting out the 13-3 Falcons who rarely lose at home. Still, the Packers have the hot hand and in the playoffs, you ride it.


In the Jets/Patriots showdown, much has been made about the pre-game smack talk. We think much more needs to be made about the fact that the Pats defense isn't all that good. Sure, Mark Sanchez is horrible, but we just think the Patriots are more vulnerable than most think--even at home. To get 9 1/2 points against a division team in the playoffs is absurd and something that is basically the result of one single game that the Patriots and Jets played.


Lots of value with the dogs once again, as is often the case in the playoffs, and we're riding with these two as our 2-0 Free NFL Playoff Picks look to remain winless.



Check the BetFirms odds feed for live lines and sign up for their expert NFL picks to win more of your bets.

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Free NCAA Football Picks Year In Review (55%)


Now that we have had a couple of days to reflect on the 2010 NCAA Football season, and we've come to the realization that no, there won't be a plus-one game added so that the undefeated Auburn Tigers and TCU Horned Frogs can determine a real college football champion. We've also had a little bit of time to take a look back at our Free NCAA Football Picks for the season.

After a less than stellar regular season just barely over 52%, we kicked it into high gear for an impressive 9-1 bowl record to finish at 64-53-1 (55%) for the season. Our stated goal is always 60%, and clearly we were short of that mark yet, but we did find some success, particularly at the end of the season.

So with that, take a final look at our week-by-week Free NCAA Football Pick records before we begin preparations for an even more profitable 2011.

Free NCAA Football Picks
Week 1: 5-4-1
Week 2: 8-4
Week 3: 3-6
Week 4: 4-7
Week 5: 3-6
Week 6: 5-2
Week 7: 5-3
Week 8: 5-3
Week 9: 5-0
Week 10: 3-3
Week 11: 1-7
Week 12: 2-2
Week 13: 4-3
Week 14: 2-2
Bowls: 9-1
Overall: 64-53-1... 55%

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Free NHL Picks Improve to 4-0 in 2010-11


Shockingly, we haven't had a Free NHL Pick all year! We have held off on a few plays in 2011 and finally pulled the trigger with Philly tonight, resulting in our fourth Free NHL Pick win in four attempts this season.

It didn't start pretty, as the Flyers found themselves down to the Sabres 2-0 at the start, but it wasn't anything five unanswered goals couldn't take care of.

And so, we are 4-0 in our Free NHL Picks, roughly 100% if we're any good at math. This is a good thing, because once the NFL season ends, there will be a lot more hockey action around here.

We Interrupt the NFL Playoffs for...


A Free NHL Pick!

In the midst of all the football action, one could almost forget about our perfect 3-0 Free NHL Picks. We have one system play tonight on the ice:

Philadelphia Flyers ML -109 over Buffalo Sabres

Only a little bit of juice to lay on the road team tonight.

Good luck!

Monday, January 10, 2011

Free NCAA Football Bowl Picks Finish 90%


That, ladies and gentlemen, is how you finish a season.

Our Free NCAA Football Bowl Picks finished at 9-1 during the bowl season after Auburns national championship win over Oregon in the BCS championship tonight, giving us a 90% postseason record in college football.

The 9-1 bowl season elevates are Free NCAA Football Picks to 55% for the year (64-53-1), not where we would have liked them to be but still relatively successful and profitable.

All in all, it's been a good year of football for us, as our Free NFL Picks are hitting at a 61% clip as well. The only downside to all of this: no college football until August.

Fortunately, there is still the NFL Playoffs, and our picks are off to a 2-0 start there. Stay with us through the playoffs right up to the 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45), where our world famous prop bet analysis will return as we look at every betting angle in this year's Super Bowl.

Free BCS National Championship Game Pick


Our Free NCAA Football Bowl Picks are 8-1 (89%) heading into the National Championship game between Oregon and Auburn, and we're intent on getting those picks up to 90% to end the season. And we plan on doing it by going with Auburn.

Auburn -1 1/2 over Oregon

Seems like a lot of sharps are shifting towards Oregon, but the SEC team that has found a way to win countless tough games has the edge as far as we can tell.

Sunday, January 9, 2011

Updated Odds to Win 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45)


We're officially one week closer to the 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45), and it isn't too early to wonder who will win the big game.

With 1/4 of th league remaining in contention for the NFL title, let's take a look at the updated odds to win the Super Bowl, courtesy of SBG Global Sportsbook:

New England Patriots +200
Atlanta Falcons +500
Pittsburgh Steelers +500
Baltimore Ravens +1200
Chicago Bears +1200
Green Bay Packers +1200
New York Jets +2000
Seattle Seahawks +10000

The Patriots are heavy favorites, but if you are buying a continuation of the dynasty, here might be your last chance to get them at a decent price. Not that we're advising that. There are so many quality teams remaining that it could be worth your while to pick your favorite of the teams outside of the top three favorites.

But why wait for the Super Bowl to get in on some future bets? Let's take a look at the updated odds to win each respective conference. First, the odds for which team will win the AFC:

New England Patriots -130
Pittsburgh Steelers +300
Baltimore Ravens +700
New York Jets +1100


Your best bet is to go with the field over the Patriots. Both road teams, though they have a tremendous task going into Pittsburgh and New England, also have great value. For teams as good as the Ravens and Jets, odds this high are rare.

As for the odds to win the NFC:

Atlanta Falcons +180
Chicago Bears +350
Seattle Seahawks +500
Green Bay Packers +550

Surprising to see that the Seahawks, at 8-9, don't possess the worst odds in the NFC. The fact that they could potentially host the NFC Championship, and the fact that they beat the Bears in Chicago earlier this season, could be a reason for that. The Packers, meanwhile, lost in Atlanta earlier this season, but for a team as explosive as Green Bay, +550 might not be a bad bet. The Falcons at +180, considering how good they are at home (and that the 1-seed in the AFC is at -130), also have a lot of value.

Eight teams remain in the NFL playoffs, and plenty of content remains as we inch closer to our extensive coverage of 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45).