Friday, October 1, 2010

Week 5 Free NCAA Football Picks

After two less than stellar weeks for our Free NCAA Football Picks, we are looking to get back on track, or at the very least stay afloat, in Week 5.

Our minimum goal, as always, is to stay ahead of gambling's Mendoza line, which is typically seen as 60%. First, though, we need to have another week of over 50%... or 40%. If things don't go well this weekend, we might just join the Navy.

So, to stop our free fall, we're enlisting the following slump busting plays:

Navy +10 over Air Force

Clemson +3 1/2 over Miami

Ohio State -17 over Illinois

Northwestern -6 over Minnesota

Kentucky +3 over Ole Miss

Stanford +7 over Oregon

North Carolina State +3 1/2 over Virginia Tech

And our very first total of the year

Arizona State/Oregon State OVER 56

That gives us a total of 8 plays for the coming Saturday, the fewest amount we have had so far. Now, some of that can be attributed to being a little bit more gun-shy in light of our last two weeks, but mostly it's just a sign of the books getting a little tighter and the lines a little crisper. It's easy enough to start a season strong, and often to finish strong too. But the middle of the season, which is the majority of the plays, are where things are toughest. An eight-play day or less might not be uncommon for a while.

On that note, we still might add tomorrow. Last week, our last minute added plays went 0-3, so in all likelihood that won't be happening. But keep your eyes open (and your pageviews coming. Muahahaha!).

Free NCAA Football Picks
Week 1: 5-4-1
Week 2: 8-4
Week 3: 3-6
Week 4: 4-7

Overall: 21-21-1... 50%


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