Saturday, February 5, 2011

2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) NFL Free Pick


It's finally nearing. The 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) is one day away.

Pittsburgh Steelers +3 over the Green Bay Packers

OVER 45

In one of the closest Super Bowl spreads ever, we're taking the Steelers in a "when in doubt, take the points" situation... even if it is only three points. This should be an excellent game, and really there is no sense for us to even attempt to break it down in a way that hasn't been previously reported and covered at some point in the last two weeks. Our prop betting track record is solid, but we are actually quite dismal at betting the spread in the actual Super Bowl, sporting a 1-2 record in the last three Super Bowls. So take our pick for what it's worth.

In Super Bowl 45, it's only fitting that we see at least 45 points. Much has been made about the Packers offense playing on a fast surface, but much of that hype is offset by the fact that we have two great defenses competing against each other. Defenses very similar to those that combined for 73 points allowed in a 2009 shootout. People tend to bet the OVER in general and especially in big games, and yet, this line still isn't high enough.

That just about does it for our 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) coverage between the Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers. Unless, of course, you've yet to check out any of our prop bets, all of which can be found on the sidebar to the right.

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